A Study of a Predictive Validity of Mongolian University Admission Tests

The main goal of this research is to define how university admission test results and high school academic preparedness affect the undergraduate academic performance of Mongolian students. To achieve our goal, we used the correlation and regression analysis between the student's grade point average, the university admission examination results and other factors such as the average grade point of the high school study period. By doing this we are checking indirectly the predictive validity of university admission tests our country. In the research there used the data of more than 13,000 students from Mongolia's main state and private universities studied between the period of 2018–2022. The study based on correlation and regression analysis, shows that the grade point average of the undergraduate students and the general university admission test results are correlated weakly. In order to analyze how undergraduate student academic performance affected by their academic preparedness, the authors considered several regression models. A model that correlates the student's undergraduate grade point average with the average high school certificate score, the general admission test score, the university first year average of grade points and a moderator variable is best suited for comparison with other models.